Ukraine’s creditors agree two-year freeze on $20 billion foreign debt
Ukraine’s foreign creditors have backed its request for a two-year freeze on payments on nearly $20 billion in international obligations, a regulatory filing showed on Wednesday, a move that will allow the war-torn country to avoid disorderly default.
With no sign of peace or a ceasefire on the horizon nearly six months after the start of the Russian invasion, holders of about 75% of the remaining total have accepted Kyiv’s proposal, according to documents.
“Ukraine will save almost $6 billion on payments,” Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said in a statement. “These funds will help us maintain macro-financial stability, strengthen the sustainability of the Ukrainian economy and improve the strength of our military.”
The solicitation had to be approved by holders of at least two-thirds of the total and more than 50% of each issue.
“The two-year debt freeze makes sense because even if the war ends soon, Ukraine’s situation is not going to improve overnight,” said Stuart Culverhouse, chief economist at the firm. London studies Tellimer. “Creditors were even surprised that the country decided to be up to date on obligations so far.”
BlackRock Inc, Fidelity International, Amia Capital and Gemsstock Ltd are among the major holders of Ukrainian debt, the market value of which has fallen more than 80% since a Russian troop buildup began on its borders in late 2021.
Chart: Ukrainian bonds in postponement proposal, https://graphics.Reuters.com/UKRAINE-CRISIS/BONDS/myvmnekabpr/chart.png
A separate but related consent solicitation approved by creditors allows for the modification of about $2.6 billion of GDP warrants, a derivative security that triggers payments linked to a country’s gross domestic product.
Creditors of Ukravtodor and Ukrenergo, two state-owned companies that benefit from government guarantees on their debt, have approved separate solicitations similar to the one proposed by the sovereign.
With Ukraine facing an estimated 45% economic contraction in 2022, bilateral creditors including the United States, Britain and Japan had also backed a delay in debt repayments and a group of governments from the Paris Club agreed to suspend payments until the end of 2023.
“This will improve foreign exchange cash flow for Ukraine, but this alone is unlikely to be enough to stabilize foreign exchange reserves,” said Carlos de Sousa, portfolio manager of emerging market debt at Vontobel. Asset Management.
Ukraine’s international reserves fell from $28.1 billion in March to $22.4 billion at the end of July.
A full debt restructuring is expected after the debt freeze, De Sousa said, because it is “unlikely” Ukraine will be able to regain market access in two years.
Ukraine completed a $15 billion debt restructuring at the end of 2015 after an economic crisis linked to a Russian-backed insurgency in its industrial east. The deal left it with a large number of payments due each year between 2019 and 2027, and it returned to international markets in 2017.
With a monthly budget deficit of $5 billion, Ukraine is heavily dependent on foreign funding from Western allies and multilateral lenders, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank.
It has so far received $12.7 billion in loans and grants, according to Finance Department data.
The United States said this week it would provide an additional $4.5 billion to the Ukrainian government, bringing its total budget support to $8.5 billion since Moscow launched what it calls a “special military operation.” “.
Ukraine is also aiming to agree a $15-20 billion IMF program to help shore up its economy, its central bank governor said, and the government expects to receive that assistance before the end of the year.
By Jorgelina do Rosario, Rodrigo Campos and Karin Strohecker
(Reporting by Jorgelina do Rosario, Rodrigo Campos and Karin Strohecker; Additional reporting by Anna Pruchnicka in Gdansk and David Ljunggren in Ottawa; Editing by Alexander Smith, Matthew Lewis, Mark Potter, Kirsten Donovan)
(Only the title and image of this report may have been edited by Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)